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Wednesday, September 29

Dow Jones still holding resistance level. Slight bearish sentiment.

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Banks are trading down again as FED QE means lower profit margins for commercial banks. Materials prosper in such an environment.

The DOW is still highly overbought. The market seems to be very bullish, with every uptick met by strong demand for equities.

Perhaps the DOW can only correct if Caterpillar wants to correct.image

Look at caterpillar’s strength. The stock seems to want to push past $80. It is because of this particular stock that the dow jones has been roaring lately.

Tomorrow’s unemployment claims will dictate whether bears can win or lose.

However, going with the Tepper’s argument, bears will lose no matter what… If tomorrow’s claims is bad, the dollar will sink, and equities will jump. If the claims is good, the dollar will rise, but equities may also rise. So is the trade to go long?

I will continue waiting for the real pullback. Rather miss the boat than get hit by a sharp correction.

- Europe’s problem…
- China’s trade war
- Chinese PMI.

Too much uncertainty here. Gold prices went up alongside equities.

This is a wierd market that may collapse. Not waiting for capitulation but just a slight correction.

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