I am rotating some of my portfolio to the weakest sector – Utilities. One of my favourite picks is AES corporation. I own both AES and CEG in my Utilities portfolio.
AES has suffered a massive sell off and short bet as the DARK spread is contracting and it would hurt their profit margins. This is because Natural Gas price has been going down while Coal price has been going up. Since electricity price is linked to Natural Gas, the Dark Spread has decreased significantly.
However, AES has hedged itself from such contraction as it has many facilities in other parts of the world. Besides, AES corporation has more than 60% of its assets in Natural gas and renewable energy. AES fundamentals are sound and the company would most probably do well with the new equity that they have raised,
CIC bought 1.6bln worth of AES shares at $12.60 each. Currently, AES is trading at a steep discount of only $11.28. Last Monday, AES issued an investor’s presentation highlighting the fact that the stock is undervalued and that it should be trading at $13.13.
I am sticking to my original target of $12.5. The technicals of AES looks good. AES has support at $11.25 as seen by the double doji. Selling pressure has been exhausted, the stock should continue its rebound tomorrow.